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Prediction markets
51 active markets
· category “Trump”
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How to trade
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
99%
Judy Shelton
1%
33 more
$64.5M
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
65 trading now
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
1%
Yes
No
≤49
1%
Yes
No
$242K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
45 trading now
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Donald Trump
99%
Shehbaz Sharif
99%
18 more
$1.81M
Vol.
Aug 1
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
95%
60+
64%
2 more
$71K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
US x Iran Ceasefire
99%
New Supreme Leader of Iran
99%
2 more
$736K
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$921K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
54 trading now
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
13%
September 30
7%
1 more
$28.2M
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$200
75 trading now
Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$93K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
40 trading now
Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by…?
September 30
99%
December 31
99%
1 more
$20K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$110K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
47 trading now
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 1
95%
July 7
94%
29 more
NEW
$15K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
45 trading now
Marco Rubio visits China by...?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$95K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
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